Service Plays Thursday 2/11/10

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets (-5.5, 204)

Handling Tim Duncan is a two, maybe three-man job. It’s just bad timing that the Nuggets happen to be a man down heading into Thursday's Western Conference showdown.

Power forward Kenyon Martin is nursing tendonitis in his knee and is questionable to face Duncan and the Spurs. Martin is a major key to Denver’s success. Not only does he score more than 12 points and pull down nine rebounds a game, but he is their top defender against mobile frontcourts.

The last time the Nuggets faced the Spurs, Martin poured in 27 points and grabbed 11 boards to help lead Denver to a 103-89 win despite not having fellow forward Carmelo Anthony in the lineup. In a 106-99 win over San Antonio, K-Mart scored nine points, snagged 13 rebounds and had three blocked shots. The Nuggets covered as underdogs in both of those contests.

In fact, Denver has covered against San Antonio in six of their last eight meetings. One of those ATS losses, a 104-96 Nuggets win as 11.5-point favorites, came with Martin on the sideline due to injury.

Without Martin patrolling the paint Thursday, the Spurs will cash in on some easy buckets inside and keep this game close.

Pick: San Antonio
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators (+110, 6)

Hockey fans have had this matchup circled on the calendar ever since the Capitals and Senators started their red-hot runs.

Washington has won 14 games in a row heading into Wednesday's game in Montreal while Ottawa rebounded from its first loss in 11 games with a 3-2 victory over the Calgary Flames Tuesday.

The Senators took a one-goal lead in the second period but didn’t just lay back and weather the Flames’ storm in the third period. They kept pushing on offense – outshooting Calgary 10-to-6 in the final frame after being edged in the shot count in the first two periods. That offensive push is what the team needs to match firepower with the Capitals’ scoring prowess.

Senators coach Cory Clouston mixed his lines up midway through the second period, adding Jonathan Cheechoo to Jason Spezza and Milan Michalek’s line. That trio produced the game-winning goal from Spezza in the second period.

“They’re both really good players. You’ve just got to work hard trying to get open for them,” Cheechoo told the Toronto Sun of his new linemates. “You know they’re going to make some space for you.”

The win over Calgary improved Ottawa to 22-8-1-2 at home this year and was its sixth straight victory inside Scotiabank Place.

Pick: Ottawa


San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings (+100, 5.5)

The Sharks are loving life on the road this season, posting a 20-6-1-1 record in opposing barns and starting their current six-game road swing with three straight wins.

San Jose bettors are loving life on the road too. Not only are they cashing in on the Western Conference’s top team but they are doing so at discount prices. Oddsmakers priced the Sharks at -135, -116 and -157 in the opening games of this road trip, which is a steal when compared to the -200 pricing or higher on San Jose at home.

Books may drop the price even more on San Jose when they come to Joe Louis Arena Thursday. The Sharks have struggled against the Red Wings, losing all three meetings with Detroit this season – the last two by 4-1 scores.

San Jose will be coming off a game in Columbus, having won eight of its last 10 heading into Wednesday. Detroit, on the other hand, has dropped three in a row and has won just three of its last 10 outings.

Pick: San Jose
 

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Thursday's Plays

Las Vegas Sports Advisors

Thursday

1.)Washington -125 ( 10* HR ) NHL G.O.M

2.)Dallas Stars +125 ( 5* HR ) NHL

3.)Cleveland -7.5 ( 5* HR )NBA

4.)Denver -6.5 ( 4* HR ) NBA

5.) Middle Tenn -5 ( 3* GK )

6.) Calgary Under 5.5 ( 3* VI ) NHL

2-3 yesterday -4.70 units.. Looking for a BIG Thursday gl to all!!
 

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DCI CBB

02/11/10 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 2860-911 (.758)
ATS: 1172-1185 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 3334-3504 (.488)
Over/Under: 1011-1017 (.499)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1529-1507 (.504)

America East Conference
HARTFORD 71, Umbc 59
NEW HAMPSHIRE 60, Binghamton 57

Atlantic 10 Conference
DUQUESNE 79, Massachusetts 72

Atlantic Sun Conference
JACKSONVILLE 78, Florida Gulf Coast 59
Lipscomb 75, USC UPSTATE 67
NORTH FLORIDA 67, Stetson 52

Big East Conference
Louisville 76, ST. JOHN'S 67
SETON HALL 85, Notre Dame 80

Big South Conference
Coastal Carolina 77, HIGH POINT 66
GARDNER-WEBB 98, Vmi 94
RADFORD 79, Charleston Southern 68
UNC ASHEVILLE 77, Liberty 73

Big Ten Conference
MINNESOTA 66, Michigan 59

Big West Conference
Long Beach State 75, CAL POLY 70

Colonial Athletic Association
TOWSON 73, UNC Wilmington 68

Great West Conference
NORTH DAKOTA 63, New Jersey Tech 54
SOUTH DAKOTA 85, Chicago State 68

Horizon League
Butler 75, YOUNGSTOWN STATE 56
CLEVELAND STATE 72, Valparaiso 68
DETROIT 70, Green Bay 64
WRIGHT STATE 68, Wisconsin-Milwaukee 58

Mid-American Conference
OHIO 68, Central Michigan 63

Northeast Conference
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 68, Wagner 63
Mount St. Mary's 64, MONMOUTH 55
QUINNIPIAC 72, St. Francis (N.Y.) 59
Robert Morris 66, CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 59
SACRED HEART 79, Long Island 73
Saint Francis (Pa.) 63, BRYANT 58

Ohio Valley Conference
Eastern Kentucky 76, SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE 65
JACKSONVILLE STATE 80, Tennessee-Martin 65
Morehead State 68, EASTERN ILLINOIS 60
Murray State 80, TENNESSEE TECH 69

Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA 80, Oregon 68
ARIZONA STATE 63, Oregon State 51
CALIFORNIA 82, Washington 77
STANFORD 75, Washington State 70

Patriot League
AMERICAN 66, Bucknell 62

Southeastern Conference
MISSISSIPPI STATE 75, Mississippi 73

Southern Conference
APPALACHIAN STATE 80, Davidson 77
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 82, Elon 66

Summit League
Ipfw 68, UMKC 65
Iupui 79, CENTENARY 68
Oakland 80, SOUTHERN UTAH 66
ORAL ROBERTS 69, Western Illinois 50

Sun Belt Conference
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 74, LouiSIAna-Lafayette 72
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 66, Denver 58
North Texas 74, NEW ORLEANS 61
SOUTH ALABAMA 75, Florida International 67
UALR 72, LouiSIAna-Monroe 67
WESTERN KENTUCKY 72, Arkansas State 67

West Coast Conference
GONZAGA 81, Saint Mary's 72
PORTLAND 72, San Diego 55
SAN FRANCISCO 79, Pepperdine 69
SANTA CLARA 72, Loyola Marymount 69

Western Athletic Conference
New Mexico State vs. FRESNO STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Utah State 77, BOISE STATE 65
 

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DCI NHL

02/11/10 Predictions

Season: 304-202 (.601)

Washington 4, OTTAWA 3
Buffalo vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Boston vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
San Jose vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CALGARY 3, Dallas 2
LOS ANGELES 4, Edmonton 2


DCI NBA

02/11/10 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 512-223 (.697)
ATS: 412-351 (.540)
ATS Vary Units: 1003-849 (.542)
Over/Under: 376-389 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 518-545 (.487)

CLEVELAND 99, Orlando 92
DENVER 105, San Antonio 98
 
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GAMES OF THE DAY
Thursday's Tips


**Ole Miss at Mississippi State**

Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Mississippi St. (16-7 straight up, 10-8 against the spread) as a 5 ½-point favorite, but most books had the Bulldogs reduced to 4 ½ as of late Wednesday night.

With four losses in its last five games, Rick Stansbury’s team has fallen down to third place in the SEC West with a 4-4 record in SEC action. The Bulldogs came up empty last week in a pair of tough road games at Vanderbilt (75-72) and at Florida (69-62).

Ole Miss (17-6 SU, 12-6-1 ATS) had lost back-to-back games and was trailing Alabama by 20 at intermission in Oxford this past Saturday. Down 40-20 at halftime, the Rebels rallied to not only win but also garner their backers a miraculous push. They eventually won 74-67 win as seven-point home favorites. Chris Warren had a team-high 21 points, while Terrance Henry added 20 points and eight rebounds.

If the season ended today, Ole Miss would probably be invited to the NCAA Tournament. However, the same can’t be said for Mississippi St. The Rebels are 39th in the RPI Rankings, while MSU has dropped to No. 72.

When these teams met at The Tad Pad earlier this season, Mississippi St. captured an 80-75 road win over the Rebels as a 3 ½-point underdog. Dee Bost was the spark for the Bulldogs, exploding for 25 points and six assists. Kodi Augustus chipped in with 13 points and 12 boards. Warren had a team-high 15 points for Ole Miss, but he was only 5-of-17 from the field.

The ‘over’ is 10-2-1 in the last 13 head-to-head meetings between these in-state rivals.

The ‘under’ is 10-8 overall for MSU, but the ‘over’ is 5-1 in its home games at The Hump.

The ‘over’ is 10-8-1 overall for Ole Miss.

Tip-off is slated for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**Saint Mary’s at Gonzaga**

LVSC opened Gonzaga (19-4 SU, 11-8-1 ATS) as an eight-point favorite, but most books had the Bulldogs adjusted to six-point ‘chalk’ by late Wednesday night.

Saint Mary’s (21-3 SU, 15-7 ATS) has won six in a row since losing at home to Gonzaga. The Gaels are just 3-3 ATS during their winning streak, but they have covered the number in both road assignments, blowout wins at Loyola-Marymount (85-67) and at Pepperdine (87-71).

Randy Bennett’s team can retain sole possession of first place in the WCC with a win here. The Gaels, who have an RPI of 44 this week, are 8-1 in league play. Meanwhile, Mark Few’s squad is 7-1 against WCC foes. A win would give the Gaels a 1 ½-game advantage over the Bulldogs.

Gonzaga bounced back from a stunning overtime loss at San Francisco two Saturday ago to thump Portland before going to Memphis and emerging victorious. The Bulldogs punished the Pilots 76-49 last Thursday as nine-point home favorites. Matt Bouldin had a team-high 20 points in the win.

Bouldin was also the catalyst in Saturday’s 66-58 win at Memphis with the ‘Zags catching 4 ½ points. They hooked up money-line backers with a generous plus-180 return (paid $175 on $100 wagers). Bouldin had 19 points against the Tigers.

Saint Mary’s is coming off Saturday’s 73-57 win over San Francisco as a 16 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Omar Samhan dominated the Dons, finishing with 24 points, 10 rebounds and seven blocked shots. All five SM’s starters scored in double figures including Matthew Dellavedova, who had 11 points, seven assists, six rebounds and two steals.

The ‘over’ is 14-6 overall for Gonzaga, 6-1 in its home games. However, the ‘under’ has cashed in three of the Bulldogs’ last four outings (regardless of venue).

Saint Mary’s has seen the ‘under’ prevail in three straight games, but the ‘over’ is 13-7-1 overall for the Gaels.

ESPN2 will have television coverage at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Bonus Nuggets**

Memphis senior center Pierre Henderson-Niles has left the program in what first-year head coach Josh Pastner has termed a “mutual” parting of ways. Henderson-Niles was averaging 5.2 points and 5.2 rebounds per game and had started 16 of 23 games for the Tigers. However, his minutes had decreased in recent weeks. Memphis played without Henderson-Niles for the first time last night, beating UCF 76-70. The Golden Knights easily took the money as 16 ½-point road underdogs.

Indiana had covered the spread in four straight double-digit underdog spots until Wednesday’s 69-52 home loss to Oho St. as a 10 ½-point ‘dog.
 
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SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 11

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Washington (16-7, 7-15 ATS) at California (15-8, 11-11 ATS)
Washington will try to extend its winning streak to five when the Huskies visit Haas Pavilion in Berkeley, Calif. for a Pac-10 matchup with the Golden Bears.
The Huskies has rattled off four straight home wins, including Saturday’s 79-56 rout of Arizona State as a five-point home favorite, but now they go back on the road where they are 0-6 SU and ATS this season, including 0-4 SU and ATS when visiting Pac-10 rivals. Washington scores just 67 points per game on the road, and defensively it is a disaster away from home, giving up 80.6 ppg on 49.8 percent shooting.
Cal hasn’t been home since Jan. 23, going 2-2 (SU and ATS) in four Pac-10 roadies since. The Golden Bears looked spectacular on Saturday, winning at UCLA 72-58 as three-point favorites. They got outstanding efforts from Theo Robertson and Patrick Christopher, who had 20 points each. At home, Cal averages 81 ppg while shooting 50.5 percent from the floor, limiting opponents to 61.4 ppg and 39.9 percent shooting.
These teams met back in Seattle on Jan. 16 with the Huskies blowing out Cal 84-69, cashing as 2½-point favorites. That win snapped Cal’s three-game Cal SU and ATS winning streak in this rivalry, including an 86-71 home win last season as a one-point underdog. The Golden Bears have cashed in five of the last eight series clashes overall.
Washington is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a road ‘dog, but otherwise is on ATS slides of 7-16 overall, 5-12 after a straight-up win, 0-5 on the road, 2-7 after a spread-cover and 1-4 on Thursday. Cal is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as a favorite but it is in ATS ruts of 0-4 after a spread-cover and 0-4 at home after three or more straight road games.
The Huskies are on “over” runs of 27-12 overall, 15-6 on the road, 20-7 after a straight-up win, 27-9 in Pac-10 action and 13-4 after a spread-cover. Cal has stayed “under” the number in six of seven overall and four straight as a favorite, but it is on “over” streaks of 12-5-1 at home, 38-17-1 after a spread-cover, 19-7 on Thursday and 15-5-2 at home against teams with losing road records. In this series, the “over” has been the play in five of the last six overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Ole Miss (17-6, 12-6-1 ATS) at Mississippi State (16-7, 10-8 ATS)
Mississippi State tries to avoid a third straight loss when its hosts the Rebels inside the Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Miss., for a key SEC matchup between bitter rivals.
Ole Miss snapped a two-game losing streak on Saturday with a 74-67 victory over Alabama, pushing as a seven-point home favorite. The Rebels are 3-2 (4-1 ATS) in SEC road games this season but fell back on Feb. 2 at Kentucky 85-75 as an 11-point underdog. Ole Miss puts up 80.3 ppg this season and limits the opposition to 69.9 ppg and 41 percent shooting.
The Bulldogs have lost four of five overall and failed to cash in five of their last seven, including Saturday’s 69-62 loss at Florida, falling short as three-point underdogs. Mississippi State has been in a scoring drought lately, averaging just 64 ppg while shooting 35.4 percent from the field over the last five games.
Mississippi State has won and cashed in the last two meetings in this rivalry, including an 80-75 victory Jan. 9 victory at Ole Miss, cashing as a 3½-point underdog. The Bulldogs have won five of the last eight (SU and ATS) in this rivalry, and the favorite has cashed in 10 of the last 14 meetings.
The Rebels are on ATS runs of 5-1-1 overall, 4-0 on the road, 9-4 as road ‘dogs and 6-2 after a straight-up win. Mississippi State is on ATS slides of 2-5 in SEC action and 1-4 as a chalk, but it is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after a straight-up loss.
Ole Miss has stayed below the posted number in 10 of 13 as a ‘dog, eight of 10 as a road ‘dog and five of seven after a straight-up win. Mississippi State is on “under” streaks of 4-1 overall, 4-1 in SEC action and 6-0 as a favorite of less than seven points, but the Bulldogs have topped the number in 13 of 19 as a home favorite. In this rivalry, the “over” is 10-2-1 in the last 13 clashes overall, including 5-1-1 in the last seven in Starkville.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSISSIPPI STATE


St. Mary’s (21-3, 15-7 ATS) at (16) Gonzaga (19-4, 11-8-1 ATS)
The top two teams in the West Coast Conference square off with first place on the line as St. Mary’s visits the McCarthey Athletic Center in Spokane, Wash., to take on the Bulldogs.
The Gaels have won six straight (3-3 ATS) to take the lead in the conference, sitting a half-game ahead of Gonzaga. St. Mary’s scored a 73-57 home win over San Francisco on Saturday but came up short as a 16½-point favorite. It is 9-1 (6-3-1 ATS) in games away from home this season and a perfect 4-0 (3-1 ATS) in WCC road contests.
Since suffering a stunning upset loss in San Francisco back on Jan. 30, the Bulldogs have won two straight, crushing Portland 76-49 a week ago as nine-point favorites and then upsetting Memphis 66-58 on Saturday in a non-conference contest, prevailing as five-point ‘dogs. Gonzaga dominates at home, averaging 84.4 ppg and 52.1 percent shooting while allowing just 66.4 ppg and 39.4 percent shooting.
Gonzaga has won five straight against St. Mary’s (3-2 ATS) and eight of 10 overall (5-5 ATS). Even though the home team is on a 6-2 ATS run, the Bulldogs scored an 89-82 road win back on Jan. 14, upsetting the Gaels as a 4½-point underdog.
St. Mary’s is just 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games as a road ‘dog, but otherwise the Gaels are on positive ATS runs of 13-6 overall, 12-5 after a straight-up win, 4-1 on the road and 6-1 on the road against teams with winning home marks. Gonzaga is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six against teams with a winning record and 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a spread-cover, but the Zags are also sporting negative ATS runs of 1-4 in WCC play, 1-4 as a favorite and 1-4 after a straight-up win.
The Gaels are on “under” stretches of 4-1 in conference games and 4-1 after a straight-up win, but they have topped the total in three of five roadies and eight of 10 as a ‘dog of less than seven points. The Bulldogs are on a plethora of “over” runs, including 23-8 overall, 13-3 at home, 8-2 on Thursdays, 19-7 as a favorite and 12-5 in WCC contests. In this series, the “under” has been the play in four of the last five in Washington.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


NBA

Orlando (36-17, 27-25-1 ATS) at Cleveland (42-11, 27-25-1 ATS)
The Cavaliers put their 12-game winning streak on the line when they welcome the red-hot Magic to Quicken Loans Arena for a rematch of last season’s Eastern Conference Finals.
Orlando arrives in Cleveland having won seven of eight overall (5-3 ATS) and fresh off Wednesday’s 107-87 blowout of the Bulls in Chicago, easily cashing as a 4½-point road chalk. The Magic (16-12 SU and 14-13-1 ATS on the road this season) have rattled of three straight wins and covers on the highway, and they’ve cranked up the defense lately, giving up just 92.2 points per game in their last six contests.
Cleveland made it 12 straight wins (7-5 ATS) on Tuesday with a 104-97 home victory over the Nets, coming up well short as a 16-point favorite. LeBron James had 32 points and 11 assists on in the win, while Daniel Gibson was the only other starter to reach double digits with 11 points. The Cavs have won the first five on their current seven-game homestand, averaging 107.6 ppg and shooting 51.3 percent from the floor.
Orlando eliminated the Cavaliers in six games in last season’s Eastern Conference Finals (5-1 ATS), but in the only meeting this season, Cleveland went to Orlando and scored a 102-93 victory as a one-point underdog. Despite that result, the Magic are 15-3 ATS in the last 18 series clashes, including 7-1 ATS when they play in Cleveland.
The Magic are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven Thursday games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 against Central Division teams, but they are on positive ATS runs of 41-19-2 as an underdog and 21-10-1 as road pup. Cleveland is on positive pointspread streaks of 6-2 overall, 16-7 at home against a team with a winning road record, 6-1 after a day off and 3-0-1 on Thursday.
Orlando is on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 22-8 on the road, 14-4 on Thursday, 7-1 as an underdog, 6-0 against the Eastern Conference and 5-0 against Central Division teams. On the opposite side, the Cavs are on “over” runs of 5-1-1 at home, 9-3-1 as a favorite and 7-3 at home against teams with a winning road record. Finally, the “over” has been the play in the last four Cavs-Magic meetings dating to last year’s playoff series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO


San Antonio (29-21, 24-25-1 ATS) at Denver (35-17, 24-25-3 ATS)
The Spurs continue their season-high eight-game road trip with a stop at the Pepsi Center for a Western Conference showdown against the Nuggets.
San Antonio has gone 2-2 (1-3 ATS) in the first four games of this jaunt, including a 101-89 loss to the Lakers on Monday, failing as a 2½-point underdog. The Spurs got 20 points from Tony Parker and 16 points from Tim Duncan but not much else against Los Angeles, which was playing without superstar Kobe Bryant. San Antonio, which is just 10-11 (9-12 ATS) on the road this season, has given up 98.8 points a game and 48.3 percent shooting over its last five contests.
Denver has alternated wins and losses in its five games, but crushed the Mavericks 127-91 on Tuesday, easily cashing as a seven-point favorite. Nene led the way with 21 points and eight rebounds and Carmelo Anthony returned to the lineup after missing two weeks with an ankle injury and finished with 19 points, six assists and four rebounds. The Nuggets (23-4 SU and 14-12-1 ATS at home), have averaged 113.6 points and 50.5 shooting over their last five games.
Denver has defeated the Spurs twice already this season), both twice in San Antonio, including a 103-89 victory back on Jan. 31 as a 5½-point underdog. The Nuggets have taken six of the last eight series clashes SU and ATS, but the road team has covered in each of the last six meetings and the Spurs have cashed in eight of the last 11 played in Denver.
San Antonio has struggled at the betting window lately, currently on ATS slides of 1-4 overall, 2-5 on the road, 3-9 as a road ‘dog, 3-7 after two days off, 2-10 against Northwest Division teams and 1-7 on Thursday. Denver is in pointspread funks of 1-7-3 after a spread-cover, 6-15-1 as a favorite and 0-3-1 after a straight-up win, but it is on positive ATS runs of 17-5 against Southwest Division teams and 48-19-2 as a favorite of five to 10½ points.
The Spurs are on several “under” streaks, including 6-1 on the road, 22-6 against winning teams, 7-2-1 after a non-cover, 7-3 as ‘dogs and 4-0 on Thursday. The Nuggets have stayed below the posted number in 20 of 26 against teams with a winning record, four of five on Thursday and four of five after getting a day off, but they are on “over” runs of 4-1 overall, 4-1 at home and 7-3 at home against teams with a losing road record. Finally, the “under” is 21-7 in the last 28 series clashes between these clubs, including 11-5 in the last 16 played in the Mile High City.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 
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NBA DUNKEL


Orlando at Cleveland
The Cavaliers look to take advantage of an Orlando team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games versus the Central Division. Cleveland is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 11

Game 501-502: Orlando at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 121.339; Cleveland 131.536
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 118.041; Denver 127.825
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 10; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5 1/2); Over
 
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NBA WRITE-UP


Thursday, February 11

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won last 12 games (5-2-1 vs spread in last eight). Orlando won ten of its last twelve games.
-- Nuggets won nine of last ten home games (5-3-1 vs spread last nine).

Cold Teams
-- San Antonio is 3-10 vs spread in its last thirteen games.

Totals
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Cleveland games. Six of last seven Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games stayed under total; four of last five Denver games went over the total.
 
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NCAAB DUNKEL


Louisville at St. John's
The Cardinals look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as a road favorite from 3 1/2 to 6 points. Louisville is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 11

Game 505-506: Massachusetts at Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 54.592; Duquesne 57.167
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 7
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+7)

Game 507-508: Michigan at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 67.064; Minnesota 70.660
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+8 1/2)

Game 509-510: Notre Dame at Seton Hall
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 61.715; Seton Hall 71.677
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 10
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-4 1/2)

Game 511-512: UL-Lafayette at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 51.027; Florida Atlantic 59.645
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-2)

Game 513-514: Central Michigan at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 53.894; Ohio 56.821
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3
Vegas Line: Ohio by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+7 1/2)

Game 515-516: Valparaiso at Cleveland State
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.309; Cleveland State 60.209
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 3
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+8)

Game 517-518: WI-Milwaukee at Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 57.877; Wright State 65.723
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 8
Vegas Line: Wright State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+11 1/2)

Game 519-520: Butler at Youngstown State
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 68.084; Youngstown State 51.413
Dunkel Line: Butler by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-12 1/2)

Game 521-522: Louisville at St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 70.214; St. John's 61.599
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-5 1/2)

Game 523-524: WI-Green Bay at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 52.981; Detroit 63.260
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7)

Game 525-526: Florida International at South Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 44.439; South Alabama 50.408
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 6
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+9)

Game 527-528: North Texas at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 54.765; New Orleans 43.899
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 11
Vegas Line: North Texas by 7
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-7)

Game 529-530: Denver at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 52.190; Middle Tennessee State 57.871
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-5)

Game 531-532: UL-Monroe at AR-Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 44.990; AR-Little Rock 52.460
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-4 1/2)

Game 533-534: Arkansas State at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 50.774; Western Kentucky 58.948
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 8
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+9 1/2)

Game 535-536: Oregon State at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 60.052; Arizona State 68.047
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+12 1/2)

Game 537-538: Washington at California
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 66.184; California 72.156
Dunkel Line: California by 6
Vegas Line: California by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-4 1/2)

Game 539-540: Mississippi at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 67.651; Mississippi State 68.237
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 1
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+4 1/2)

Game 541-542: Utah State at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 69.595; Boise State 55.673
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14
Vegas Line: Utah State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-7)

Game 543-544: Long Beach State at Cal Poly
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 52.866; Cal Poly 47.204
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (-4 1/2)

Game 545-546: Washington State at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 58.908; Stanford 64.722
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 6
Vegas Line: Stanford by 4
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-4)

Game 547-548: Pepperdine at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 46.157; San Francisco 57.413
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-9)

Game 549-550: New Mexico State at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 54.980; Fresno State 61.951
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 7
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-3 1/2)

Game 551-552: Loyola-Marymount at Santa Clara
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 51.832; Santa Clara 53.606
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 3
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (+3)

Game 553-554: Oregon at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 58.781; Arizona 68.093
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-7)

Game 555-556: St. Mary's (CA) at Gonzaga
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 66.350; Gonzaga 71.905
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (+6)

Game 557-558: San Diego at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 55.249; Portland 65.182
Dunkel Line: Portland by 10
Vegas Line: Portland by 11
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+11)

Game 559-560: Davidson at Appalachian State
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 51.377; Appalachian State 58.963
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-1 1/2)

Game 561-562: Elon at College of Charleston
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 47.733; College of Charleston 57.600
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 10
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+12 1/2)

Game 563-564: Murray State at Tennessee Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 62.439; Tennessee Tech 53.590
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 9
Vegas Line: Murray State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+12)

Game 565-566: Eastern Kentucky at SE Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 53.606; SE Missouri State 42.768
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 11
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 10
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-10)

Game 567-568: Tennessee Martin at Jacksonville State
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Martin 39.364; Jacksonville State 51.488
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 12
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Martin (+12 1/2)

Game 569-570: Morehead State at Eastern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 58.395; Eastern Illinois 52.147
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 6
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-5 1/2)

Game 571-572: IUPUI at Centenary
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 54.625; Centenary 47.163
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 573-574: IPFW at UMKC
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 52.393; UMKC 47.245
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 575-576: Western Illinois at Oral Roberts
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 46.566; Oral Roberts 60.650
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 14
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 577-578: Oakland at Southern Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 53.600; Southern Utah 46.463
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 
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NCAAB WRITE-UP

Thursday, February 11

Information on the best of Thursday's college basketball games........

Michigan is 7-3 in last ten games against Minnesota, winning three of its last four visits here, but Wolverines lost five of last six games, scoring an average of 48 ppg in last two. Michigan is 3-1 as Big 11 road underdog. Gophers are 2-4 in last six games (0-6 vs spread); they're 1-3 as a Big 11 home favorite- four of their last five games were won by 4 or less points.

Notre Dame won its last six games vs Seton Hall, winning last three here by 1-11-26 points; Irish are 1-4 on Big East road, losing by 12-2-1-18 points (1-2 as road underdog). Seton Hall won last three home games, by 7-3-3 points, but this is their first home game in 18 days; they're 2-1 as Big East home favorite. Big East home faves of 7 or less points: 10-14.

Louisville won last four games vs St John's by 24-10-13-7 points; they beat Red Storm 75-68 Jan 9 (-11), grabbing 19 offensive boards, making 20-30 from foul line (St John's was 9-14). Big East home underdogs of less than 8 points are 4-11 vs spread this season. Cardinals lost three in a row on road. St John's lost last five games, by 16-10-10-12-19 points.

Detroit (+3) lost 74-72 at Green Bay Jan 16, despite shooting 57% for night; Titans lost four of last six games, but are 4-1 as Horizon favorite at home, winning at Callahan by 3-7-10-11-20 points. Green Bay is 1-3 as Horizon road dog, losing away games by 23-20-14 points. Horizon League home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-12 against the spread.

Western Kentucky lost seven of last nine games; they're 4-3 as Sun Belt home favorite, winning in Diddle Arena by 12-7-17-20-18 points- they lost at home to Middle Tennessee/North Texas. Arkansas State is 8-2 in last ten games, 4-3 on Sun Belt road, losing by 9 at Denver, 15 at FAU, 2 at Little Rock. Sun Belt home favorites of 9+ points are 13-7.

Washington is 0-6 outside of Seattle this year, losing Pac-10 road games by 17-17-1-26 points (0-2 as road underdog). Cal (+2.5) lost 84-69 in Seattle Jan 16, despite going 32-50 on foul line- they shot 33%, turned ball over 21 times. Cal is 2-3 as Pac-10 home favorite, winning at home by 26-8-32-4 points. Pac-10 home faves of 5 or less points: 12-7.

Mississippi State (+2) won 80-75 at Ole Miss Jan 9, making 10-22 on arc, 22-33 on foul line (Rebels were 8-13 at stripe); but Bulldogs are 1-4 in last five games, losing by 5-5-3-7 points. State is 1-3 as SEC favorite. Ole Miss is 4-1 vs spread on SEC road, 2-0 as road dog, losing by hoop at Tennessee, 10 at Kentucky. SEC home favorites of 6 or less: 6-11.

Stanford (+6) lost 77-73 in Pullman Jan 16 after trailing by 20 at half-- Cardinal is 4-0 at home in Pac-10, winning by 1-11-24-15 points (3-0-1 as Pac-10 home favorite). Washington State is 2-3 as Pac-10 road dog, losing away games by 25-12-28 points, winning at Arizona/USC. Home faves in Pac-10 are 20-23. Stanford lost its last four games overall.

Fresno State (+2.5) lost 86-77 at New Mexico State Jan 16, after leading by 9 at half; Bulldogs lost five of last seven games, but are 4-1 at home in WAC, losing only to Utah State- they've won at home by 3-14-10-10 points. Aggies won seven of last eight games, are 4-1 on WAC road, but they had tough game at home Monday. Fresno last played on Saturday.

Arizona (+5.5) won 74-60 at Oregon Jan 16, holding Ducks to 33% for night, while outscoring them 27-17 from line; Wildcats are 1-1 as Pac-10 home favorite, winning home games by 17-8-4 points (lost at home to Wazzu). Oregon lost six of last eight games, dropping last three on road by 32-15-20 points. Arizona covered seven of its last eight games.

Gonzaga (+4.5) won 89-82 at St Mary's Jan 14, making 59.7% of shots; Bulldogs are 1-4 vs spread in last five league games, 1-2 as home favorite winning by 7-16-27 points at home. St Mary's won last six games; they are 4-0 on WCC road, but lost last six games here by 14-5-1-11-12 and 7 points. WCC home favorites of 7 or less points are 2-5 against spread.

Appalachian State (+8) won 78-68 at Davidson Jan 9, making 53% of shots, outscoring Wildcats 21-9 from foul line. State won four of its last five games, winning last three home games by 24-8-13 points. Davidson won last four games; they're 3-2 on SoCon road, but lost by 12-6 points two times they were dog. SoCon home faves of 4 or less points: 5-7.

Tennessee Tech (+18) lost 88-66 at Murray State Jan 16, despite 52.2% shooting; Tech won last four home games- they're 3-5 vs spread as OVC underdog. Murray State is 13-0 in OVC, 4-1 as road favorite, winning on foreign soil by 21-16-9-19-32 points. Racers are 6-3-1 against spread as double digit favorite- the rest of the OVC is 8-8 (14-11-1 total).
 
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NHL WRITE-UP


Thursday, February 11

Hot Teams
-- Senators won 12 of their last 13 games. Washington had its 14-game winning streak snapped last night.
-- Hurricanes won seven of their last nine games.
-- Bruins won last two games 3-0/3-2; after losing previous ten games. Tampa Bay won four in row, seven of last nine games.
-- Sharks won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Dallas Stars are 5-0 in game following their last five losses.
-- Los Angeles won eight of its last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Sabres lost last five games, allowing 27 goals.
-- Red Wings lost three in row, 10 of last 13 games.
-- Panthers lost last four games, outscored 13-4. Canucks lost three of their last four games.
-- Flames lost 14 of their last 18 games.
-- Edmonton lost last four games, outscored 16-5.

Totals
-- Under is 8-1-1 in its last ten Ottawa games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Buffalo's last five games. Three of last four Carolina games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-0-2 in Boston's last seven games.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 11 Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Calgary games.
-- Five of last seven Edmonton road games went over the total.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Washington is 2-3 on road if it played the night before.
-- San Jose is 5-2 when it played the night before.
-- Edmonton is 0-5 when it played the night before.

Series Records
-- Home team won last eight Ottawa-Washington games; Caps lost six of last seven visits to Washington.
-- Sabres lost six of last nine visits to Carolina.
-- Home side won last five Boston-Tampa Bay games.
-- Red Wings outscored San Jose 14-5 in winning last four series games.
-- Home side won last threeFlorida-Vancouver games.
-- Dallas Stars won four of last five visits to Calgary.
-- Kings won last three games vs Edmonton, allowing four goals.
 

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ATSKINGS

Rex Rodgers


Rex Rodgers Picks Page



3* Calgary Flames -145

3* Boston Bruins +100
 

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Tony Taylor

Tony Taylor Card for Thursday February 11th



3* Over Nuggets/Spurs 204

3* Seton Hall -4.5

3* California -5
 

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